The 2013 budget was presented yesterday. It was not particularly inspiring but did create some implications for the industry.
1. The capital spend on large scale projects was tiny in comparison to what was needed. A bigger boost was needed. Major infrastructure projects also have a long lead in time. The economic benefits take time to have an effect. There is gap in thinking by the treasury. There seems to be an expectation that the private sector will fill the infrastructure funding gap. Unless there is a realistic prospect of growth why should the private sector be interested in taking the risk. Major infrastructure is going to provide medium to long term benefits but will not provide a quicker impetus.
2. The second strand related to house building and buying. There is a stimulus package to support house buying through mortgage support. This is good but simply fails to tackle the issue of economic uncertainty influencing first time buyers. The age group that forms first time buyers are the most vulnerable in the current economic climate. The unemployment rate is much higher in this group. A far braver action would have been to commit money directly in support of building social housing. This would have directly stimulated the construction industry, the multiplier benefits would have been quicker, people would be rehoused, regeneration of areas would have taken place and more effective value for money rents would be paid. This would never happen as it is against the idealogical thinking of the government. A missed opportunity.
I am reading " infrastructure productivity: How to save $1 trillion a year" - surprisingly good read.